Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.535852 0.616238 0.704062 0.807065 0.924497 1.054145 1.208074
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.437454 0.550222 0.684184 0.854764 1.065917 1.318435 1.643088
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.360477 0.492247 0.661231 0.893114 1.202297 1.599562 2.147949
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.304452 0.448633 0.647064 0.938706 1.354872 1.925597 2.765713
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.251309 0.397714 0.612940 0.950119 1.462421 2.208377 3.373010
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.215571 0.364477 0.597129 0.983647 1.605626 2.562088 4.137307
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.179594 0.323309 0.561161 0.978787 1.688001 2.835621 4.821947
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.155302 0.296418 0.542810 0.998170 1.810827 3.188833 5.684917
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.129663 0.261835 0.504791 0.976376 1.858804 3.423150 6.381546
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.116826 0.248452 0.502079 1.016927 2.022724 3.879108 7.529253
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.107275 0.239560 0.506004 1.070074 2.217302 4.415725 8.897730
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.094307 0.220969 0.487430 1.075214 2.318559 4.789766 10.007966
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.082280 0.202320 0.466090 1.072323 2.405814 5.153959 11.162198
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.072253 0.186193 0.447351 1.071870 2.498295 5.542036 12.421900
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064114 0.172882 0.432545 1.077648 2.605272 5.975239 13.838483
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058316 0.164202 0.426968 1.103870 2.762541 6.538353 15.616351
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051548 0.151560 0.409526 1.098455 2.844821 6.945733 17.101178
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047196 0.144542 0.404930 1.124261 3.006513 7.556663 19.139395
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.041642 0.132923 0.386238 1.110359 3.066707 7.935888 20.678001
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.037988 0.126099 0.379258 1.126591 3.207182 8.528957 22.819940
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.033210 0.114766 0.357593 1.098430 3.225157 8.818436 24.238456
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.031293 0.112124 0.360596 1.141309 3.444629 9.654199 27.177560
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.029938 0.111054 0.368132 1.198922 3.714682 10.658554 30.693260